|
Good morning!
It's a new ball game in the world of small business
bank lending. Like their dot-com predecessors,
bankers today have found out that it's not the size of
their loan portfolio that makes the difference. It's not
about how much business a loan officer can bring into
the bank. It's not even about how profitable that
business might be in terms of add-on fees, swaps, or
contingent financing premiums.
Instead, stimulated by the prospect of federal and
state
oversight, the banks are retooling with a model right
out of the mid-'80s. They're going back to Banking
Basics 101.
Best regards,

Bradlee T. Howe Financial Managers Trust
|
Banking Basics 101
"Let me see if I have this right. In order to provide
adequate working capital to your $7 million business
this year, you're going to need to borrow as much as
$3 million?"
The banker approached the issue in matter-of-fact
fashion. He understood that we were in a
seasonal distribution business — bicycles
— in the Northeast, that we were sourcing our
product in Japan and Taiwan, that there was a
six-to-eight week period when the bikes were "on the
water"
en route, preceded by a four-week production lead
time. After all of that, it took two to four weeks to clear
this pre-ordered inventory out of the warehouse to our
dealers and thirty to sixty days for them to sell it out
and pay us.
Our overseas manufacturers, of course, wanted
assurance up front that we had the means to pay
them, which meant opening a bank letter of credit
when we placed the order. This allowed the vendors
to be paid by the bank when the containers of bikes
were loaded on ships in Yokohama or Yokosuka.
So we were asking the bank to commit funds in
January for bikes to be shipped in February, received
in April, sold by our dealers in May and June, and paid
for in late June or even July — a finance
cycle which stretched 5–6 months. A lot could
happen in six months — starting with the
weather, which could make or break a bike-selling
season.
Assessing this risk was as much an art as it was
a
science — one part history (results during
the past three years), one part internal economics (our
margins), one part external economics and politics
(market trends, exchange rates, and tariffs). A
large final component was the banker's
experience — with related markets, with
international finance, with our products, and especially
with my client and with me.
The year was 1985. The banker had been with us for
three years. When he changed banks a year later, we
followed him. The relationship was that important to
us. He knew our economic model. He understood the
bike business. His insights about parts of it were
better
than ours, based on information that flowed through
his banking channels. As a result, he minimized
the bank's exposure by helping us to avoid risky
situations, operationally as well as financially.
Small business doesn't see that kind of banking
very much any more. It's too expensive for the
bank, especially the big banks. Loan officers today get
paid at least two or three times, in real dollars, what
that rep was earning twenty years ago. And the banks'
overhead has gone way up — for executive
salaries, for IT, for insurance and compliance, and for
bad loans. They simply can't afford to take the time any
more to learn their customers' businesses. They have
had to be selling, constantly bird-dogging new
prospects.
As a result, many (but not all!) loan officers are
salespeople first, analysts second (or maybe third
or fourth, depending on their personal ambition and
political instincts). They require periodic financial
reports from their small business clients, but they are
often not diligent in following up when the reporting is
delayed. In an effort to mitigate their risk, they in
many instances rely on such restrictive loan
documentation that the entrepreneur ends up with
obstacles to, rather than opportunities for, growth.
So what, then, are the ground rules for small business
owners in this new banking ball game? In celebration
of that first real harbinger of spring — the start
of
Major League Baseball's spring training — we
offer Brad's Baseball Banking Bible:
- Step up to the plate. Be
proactive in
keeping your financing sources informed. If there's
bad news, don't sugar-coat it — leave out the
"juice." Wrap it in the context of a realistic turn-around
plan. The best defense is often a good offense (just
ask A-Rod!).
- Make a good pitch. You, as the
owner, have to be able to explain concisely how you
make money in your business. You should describe
your key financial measures, especially those that are
reflected on your financial statements.
- Put people on base. Give the
bankers
more than enough information about your business
and your industry to enable them to make the case up
the line, to the loan committee. Force them to take the
time to understand.
- Give them a common
scorecard. Don't
challenge bankers to interpret or recast your financial
reports. Make the numbers transparent, standardized,
comprehensive, and consistent, month-to-month and
year-to-year.
- Don't swing for the fences.
From basic
financial ratios, determine a reasonable debt load for
your business, and show the loan officer how you'll
pay it back, using conservative assumptions.
- Keep the bullpen armed and
ready. In
the current environment, your bank's situation can
change quickly. You should be warming up
alternatives.
If you're facing significant uncertainties in your
business, you're not alone. Even loan officers at the
biggest banks can empathize. In their situation,
however, many of
them are not likely to cut you much slack. So that
bullpen is important, especially if it is stocked with
veteran local talent. Connect with community
banks, the folks who always show up at the
Rotary and Chamber of Commerce meetings. A lot of
them have been through the economic wars, and
many of them like to think that they wrote the
book. It's called Banking Basics 101. They'll be
impressed that you've read it.
|
Alligator Bites
"The fall of Boaz Weinstein, once one of Wall Street's
hottest traders, speaks volumes about why financial firms
still are reeling from the shattered global markets.
"As a chess master, poker and blackjack devotee and
top trader at Deutsche Bank AG, Mr. Weinstein made
big bets using complex financial instruments,
generating large returns for the bank and about $40
million in annual pay for himself. But in 2008 the group
he ran saddled the bank with $1.8 billion in losses
erasing more than two years of trading gains…
"Mr. Weinstein, 35 years old, was at the vanguard of
explosive growth of 'proprietary' trading, in which
banks gambled with large chunks of their own capital.
Complex instruments let them augment their bets with
borrowed money, multiplying profits when things went
right but magnifying losses during bad times….
"Mr. Weinstein became a chess 'life master' at 16, a
card-counting blackjack ace when he was 20 and a
player in the esoteric world of credit derivatives at 24,
when he joined Deutsche Bank...Mr. Weinstein surged
to the top of the bank's credit trading desk using tactics
involving credit-default swaps, a form of insurance
against bond defaults…
"In 2005, Mr. Weinstein won a Maserati in a poker
tournament sponsored by a unit of Warren Buffett's
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. And a few times a year, Mr.
Weinstein joined several Deutsche Bank traders
— members of a secretive blackjack team
who'd attended Massachusetts Institute of Technology
— to hit the blackjack tables in Las
Vegas…."
— The Wall Street Journal
February 6, 2009
Perhaps not your everyday banker.
|
About Us
Financial Managers helps the managers of smaller
companies and non-profit organizations develop
reliable financial information for operational
decisions.
On an affordable retainer basis, FM serves as
the
part-time controller and senior financial
manager for
multiple clients, leading them to
profitability and
positive cash flow.
The goal is for the organization
to outgrow Financial Managers' services, at
which
time FM will take the lead in identifying and
hiring the
right full-time financial person for the
firm, and effect
a smooth transition to his or her management.
|
|
 |
|
EMAIL SUBSCRIPTION
|
 |
 |
DRAINING THE SWAMP
|
 |
Consumer Price Index — All Urban
Consumers
Percent change from immediate prior month, all items:
2008:
| January |
0.4% |
| February |
0.0% |
| March |
0.3% |
| April |
0.2% |
| May |
0.6% |
| June |
1.1% |
| July |
0.8% |
| August |
-
0.1% |
| September |
0.0% |
| October |
-
1.0% |
| November |
-
1.7% |
| December |
-
0.7% |
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor
Statistics
Did someone say DEflation?
|
 |
PREVIOUS NEWSLETTERS
|
 |
|